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Random House, Inc.
Автор Gardner Dan



What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? In a twenty-year study, the author showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. However, some people exist with real, demonstrable foresight. This book offers insight into what we can learn from this elite group.

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Производитель: Random House, Inc.

Цена: 986 руб.

Описание:
What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? In a twenty-year study, the author showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. However, some people exist with real, demonstrable foresight. This book offers insight into what we can learn from this elite group.



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